Saturday, October 24, 2009

Marc Faber Blog: The Lifestyle In The West Won`t Improve Meaningfully

Marc Faber Blog: The Lifestyle In The West Won`t Improve Meaningfully

Where can the west go from here? With a GDP per capita in the region of USD 35,000, how is the life of the midle class going to change in the next 20 years?
Besides, Asian emerging countries with GDPs ranging from 1,000 to 3,000, where will they be in 20 years?

The argument is clear that in a global economy, emerging countries will catch up and benefit from the goods and services that are available in the world. Assuming the finance instruments to allow the consumption are there to support it of course.

But the assumption that the life of the standard western citizen is not going to improve dramatically is too short minded. Who coul dhave predicted what happened in the west in the last 30-40 years? From the development of the information technology and it's impact in all areas of economic activity, improved productivities, telecommunication, health, transportation,...What lies ahead of us in terms of innovation?

There is of course a big difference in the growth of developed countries versus developing countries. The latter just need to emulate and copy the innovation that others create. The former need to continue innovating in order to keep the growth. This is the most important task for governments in the west: ensure we have a framework and an incentive structure that keeps innovation alife so it can bring the growth and job creation that is needed.